Teacher Carol Brackin Advanced Math 7 27 Probability
Standard(s) Taught

MAFS.7.SP.3.6 Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability.

MAFS.7.SP.3.7 Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.

MAFS.7.SP.3.8 Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams and simulation.
a. Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the staple space for which the compound event occurs.
b. Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an eventdescribed in everyday language (eg. “rolling double sixes”),identify the outcomes in the sample space which compose the event.
c. Design and use a simulation to generate frequencies of compound events.

Learning Targets and Learning Criteria
• collect data of a chance process to approximate its probability.

• use probability to predict the number of times a particular event will occur given a specific number of trials.

• use variability to explain why the experimental probability will not always exactly equal the theoretical probability.

• create a sample space of all possible outcomes for a compound event by using an organized list, a table, or a tree diagram.

• use the sample space to compare the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of outcomes, and determine the probability of the compound event.

• design and utilize a simulation to predict the probability of a compound event.

Classroom Activities

Simple probability lab – rolling dice.

Calculate theoretical probabilities of simple, compound, dependent, and independent events.

Compare theoretical probabilities to experimental probabilities after recording chance events with cards, cubes, dice, and spinners in centers with partners.

Drawing cubes with and without replacement to simulate independent and dependent events.

Complete quizzes on each type of probability studied in related videos from Study.com.

Assignments Due

Review Bell Ringers each day of class.

Lab reports from each probability center completed.

Worksheet on compound probability calculations.

Video close notes.

Quizzes on each probability video on Study.com